Oranje Nassau vs Leeuwarder Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oranje Nassau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
PKC
1 - 6
ORA
30%
21%
49%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ORA
1 - 0
NOO
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 0
ORA
36%
21%
43%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 4
SVI
51%
20%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 3
ORA
15%
18%
66%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
LEE
3 - 1
VVG
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
OLD
1 - 3
LEE
74%
14%
12%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
LEE
3 - 3
ZMV
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BLA
0 - 0
LEE
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SVI
0 - 0
LEE
84%
10%
5%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |