OPS vs TP-47 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
9º
9º
31
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OPS
1 - 0
HAU
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
OPS
0 - 0
PON
73%
15%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PSK
1 - 6
OPS
39%
21%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OPS
0 - 4
ROP
62%
17%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KAJ
3 - 1
OPS
19%
19%
63%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
TP-47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 0
TP4
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TP4
6 - 1
GBK
55%
21%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TP4
0 - 2
AKA
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
OTP
2 - 1
TP4
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TP4
3 - 0
VIF
36%
25%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +3 |