OPS vs JBK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
9º
9º
36
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
JPS
6 - 2
OPS
19%
18%
62%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
OPS
3 - 0
HER
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
KUO
5 - 2
OPS
42%
21%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
OPS
1 - 1
OTP
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SJJ
2 - 1
OPS
49%
20%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
JBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
JBK
3 - 0
OTP
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
JPS
0 - 1
JBK
27%
21%
52%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
JBK
3 - 1
SJJ
33%
20%
47%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
KAP
0 - 0
JBK
34%
22%
45%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
JBK
3 - 0
TP4
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +4 |