OPS vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
JIP
2 - 1
OPS
23%
25%
53%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ACK
1 - 1
OPS
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
OPS
1 - 2
KOO
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
OUL
3 - 1
OPS
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
OPS
2 - 0
SEI
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
ILV
3 - 0
ACK
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
KOO
4 - 0
ILV
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
ILV
6 - 1
OUL
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
JIP
2 - 1
ILV
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
ILV
5 - 0
PK3
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +2 |