OPS vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HIF
3 - 4
OPS
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OPS
1 - 1
PK3
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SEI
2 - 3
OPS
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OPS
2 - 1
HAM
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
OPS
2 - 0
ROP
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ILV
4 - 1
AIF
70%
18%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
AIF
0 - 1
ILV
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ILV
2 - 2
VIF
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
JIL
1 - 6
ILV
10%
17%
73%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ILV
5 - 2
PII
68%
19%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |