Operário vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 0
OPE
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 0
ADN
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 1
OPE
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
SAB
72%
18%
9%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
OPE
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TOU
0 - 1
ACA
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 0
SAB
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
TOU
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOU
0 - 0
PAM
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TOU
4 - 3
ADN
34%
28%
38%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |