Operário vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OLE
1 - 1
OPE
8%
18%
75%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 1
UDL
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 0
OPE
23%
25%
53%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
OPE
11%
20%
70%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 1
SER
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
UDL
52%
24%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
BEN
13%
24%
63%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 2
VST
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 0
IDE
80%
14%
7%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 0
BEN
10%
22%
68%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | -1 |