Operário vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 1
OPE
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
OPE
1 - 2
EVN
68%
17%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
OPE
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
OPE
0 - 5
PIN
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
OPE
24%
21%
56%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
LOU
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ALM
3 - 0
LUS
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
5 - 2
LUS
51%
21%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ARM
2 - 1
LUS
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 3
FAR
11%
21%
68%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |