Operário vs GD Lagoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
12º
12º
30
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
EST
3 - 1
OPE
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SIN
2 - 1
OPE
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
OPE
1 - 1
LOU
16%
24%
61%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CIN
1 - 0
OPE
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 3
MON
28%
27%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
GD Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LAG
3 - 1
ALE
24%
25%
51%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
LAG
0 - 0
SER
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MOU
2 - 1
LAG
32%
22%
47%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 1
AMO
25%
25%
50%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
FCB
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |