Operário vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
OPE
3 - 0
OLE
85%
12%
3%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
OPE
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
OPE
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 1
OPE
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
OPE
1 - 3
FAT
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 1
IDE
14%
19%
67%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 2
PRA
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SER
5 - 1
IDE
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 0
IDE
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |