Operário vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 3
OPE
19%
23%
59%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OPE
1 - 0
ANG
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 4
OPE
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 0
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PAM
0 - 1
OPE
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 2
IDE
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 0
ADN
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
PAM
51%
23%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 0
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
IDE
1 - 3
SAB
70%
16%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |