Operário vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 1
OPE
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 3
GON
29%
28%
44%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 2
OPE
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 0
TON
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
OPE
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 2
POM
58%
21%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
1DE
2 - 0
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 0
ORI
21%
25%
54%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TOU
4 - 0
CAL
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 3
TOR
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |