Operário PR vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
33%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 2
OPE
69%
21%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 1
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
OPE
65%
23%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 0
LON
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
OPE
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRB
34%
30%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 1
VIL
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
GUA
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
VIL
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |