Operário PR vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
59.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 0
OPE
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
OPE
2 - 0
PPE
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
OPE
35%
30%
35%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
GEM
0 - 0
OPE
12%
19%
70%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 1
GEM
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 1
GUA
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
CHA
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 0
GRE
15%
24%
62%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
YPI
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
YPI
0 - 1
GRE
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |