Operário PR vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
67.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
LON
0 - 1
OPE
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 1
ARA
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 0
OPE
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
4 - 0
RIO
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 0
TCW
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
COT
3 - 0
ASA
80%
14%
7%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
COT
3 - 1
CIA
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ASA
1 - 0
COT
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
COT
1 - 0
LON
84%
12%
5%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |