Operário PR vs AFA Umurama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
PRU
2 - 2
OPE
24%
23%
53%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
OPE
3 - 2
MAI
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CAL
1 - 0
OPE
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 1979 |
OPE
0 - 2
MAR
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
OPE
1 - 0
CHA
38%
28%
35%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AFA Umurama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
MAI
1 - 3
AFA
30%
24%
45%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
AFA
0 - 1
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |