Operário MS vs Uniao ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
COS
0 - 0
OPE
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 2
OPE
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
OPE
2 - 3
COS
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
OPE
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
3 - 0
OPE
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Uniao ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
ABC
1 - 1
COM
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
ABC
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
ABC
2 - 2
NOV
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
COS
3 - 1
ABC
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
ABC
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |