Operário MS vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
OPE
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
OPE
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
OPE
2 - 0
ABC
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 1
COS
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
OPE
2 - 1
CHA
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
OPE
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 3
CHA
17%
19%
64%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
COM
45%
26%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
COS
1 - 0
CHA
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
COS
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |