Ontinyent CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
ONT
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
PBL
1 - 4
ONT
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ONT
2 - 1
CAS
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
ONT
60%
23%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
UCA
3 - 0
ONT
60%
22%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RJA
2 - 3
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
TAL
2 - 2
RJA
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
RJA
1 - 0
LIN
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
POZ
3 - 2
RJA
15%
23%
61%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
BEG
1 - 8
RJA
19%
24%
57%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |