Ontinyent CF vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
UDQ
2 - 0
ONT
47%
27%
27%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
ONT
3 - 0
OLI
71%
19%
11%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
DEN
1 - 1
ONT
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
ONT
4 - 3
PAT
55%
25%
21%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
ALG
1 - 1
ONT
50%
26%
24%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
ASP
2 - 1
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
VIN
2 - 1
ASP
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
ASP
0 - 0
ALC
53%
26%
21%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
GAN
2 - 0
ASP
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
UDQ
1 - 1
ASP
54%
25%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |