ONS Sneek vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ONS Sneek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SVZ
1 - 1
ONS
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ONS
2 - 1
HZV
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FLE
0 - 4
ONS
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ONS
2 - 2
BER
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
INT
0 - 5
ONS
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 1
EIN
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BOS
3 - 0
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
TEL
1 - 0
EXC
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 0
FCE
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |