Onet Le Château vs Bagnols-Pont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
11º
9º
16
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
18% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Onet Le Château
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
BEA
4 - 1
ONE
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ONE
2 - 2
COL
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 0
ONE
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ONE
1 - 1
MON
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 4
ONE
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bagnols-Pont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
FBP
0 - 1
AGD
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BEZ
2 - 0
FBP
78%
15%
6%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FBP
3 - 2
MON
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +3 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
FBP
68%
18%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FBP
1 - 3
CAS
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |