Once Lobos vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Lobos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MUN
1 - 1
ONC
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ONC
1 - 2
SAL
54%
23%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
FIR
1 - 1
ONC
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ONC
0 - 0
MET
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ONC
2 - 2
AGU
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FAS
2 - 1
BAL
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 2
FAS
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
FAS
1 - 0
ONC
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
AGU
1 - 1
FAS
49%
23%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MUN
1 - 1
FAS
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |