ONB vs SC Erica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
65.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ONB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
WOL
5 - 0
ONB
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ONB
1 - 2
BER
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SC Erica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SCE
3 - 2
ANN
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
STE
1 - 0
SCE
13%
18%
69%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SCE
2 - 1
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 0
SCE
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 3
SCE
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |