RB Omiya Ardija vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
OMI
1 - 2
KYO
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SAG
2 - 1
OMI
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
OMI
0 - 2
VEN
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 2
OMI
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
OMI
3 - 1
ALB
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
RYK
3 - 1
VVA
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VVA
1 - 1
EHI
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 0
VVA
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
VVA
2 - 1
ZWE
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
VVA
3 - 1
ZWE
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |