Conference League Last 16
Global 4-2
Olympique Marseille vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 1
MAR
18%
24%
59%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 3
MAR
23%
26%
52%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
CLE
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
QAR
66%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 2
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 2
STG
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ZUR
4 - 2
BAS
30%
23%
47%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
LAU
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 1
BAS
43%
23%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |