Olympique Marseille U19 vs Gazélec Ajaccio U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
13º
2º
38
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
92.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 1
ROD
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 2
OLY
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PSG
2 - 0
OLY
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 2
OLY
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 1
TOU
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 0
TOU
44%
23%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
AJA
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
4 - 1
ASG
86%
10%
5%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 1
AJA
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NIC
0 - 1
AJA
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |