Olympique Marseille II vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
11º
6º
0
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
MAR
32%
22%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
RVA
3 - 1
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
FCM
15%
23%
62%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MON
2 - 4
MAR
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
LYO
14%
20%
66%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GAZ
3 - 3
SCR
62%
21%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
GAZ
6 - 0
USM
90%
8%
3%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LUC
3 - 2
GAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
GAZ
2 - 1
CBL
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
GAZ
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | +1 |