Olympique Lyonnais vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
7º
18º
7º
64
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
69% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 49 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
85.5% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
89.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
33.5% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 26 |
18º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
74% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
26% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PSG
4 - 1
LYO
64%
20%
17%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LYO
4 - 3
BRE
58%
22%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 3
LYO
22%
23%
55%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
LYO
3 - 0
VAL
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 1
REI
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
LIL
46%
26%
29%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 2
MON
25%
23%
52%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
REN
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MET
2 - 5
MON
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |