Europa League Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 4-5
Olympique Lyonnais vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
LYO
3 - 2
NAN
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 1
LYO
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 2
LYO
19%
24%
58%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LYO
1 - 2
MON
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
BJK
2 - 1
LYO
46%
24%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 0
GAE
83%
12%
4%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 1
LYO
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PSV
1 - 0
AJA
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
S04
3 - 2
AJA
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |