Olympique de Valence vs Ain Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
64.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
13º
12º
23
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique de Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LYO
0 - 0
OVA
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OVA
0 - 0
OLY
7%
12%
80%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 0
OVA
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
OVA
0 - 1
PFC
6%
14%
80%
|
16 | 63 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
OVA
3 - 1
THO
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | +6 |
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AIN
0 - 1
CLE
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
AIN
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 1
AIN
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
AIN
0 - 1
HAL
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VAU
5 - 3
AIN
34%
24%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |