ASOM vs USFAS Bamako analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASOM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2014 |
OLY
1 - 0
ONZ
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
CSK
2 - 1
OLY
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
OFF
2 - 0
OLY
36%
29%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
OLY
0 - 0
DUG
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
ELW
0 - 1
OLY
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
USFAS Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2014 |
BAK
1 - 1
USF
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
DJO
0 - 0
USF
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
USF
0 - 1
POL
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
USF
3 - 1
ASN
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
USF
2 - 1
CSK
47%
29%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |