ASOM vs Bakaridjan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASOM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
BAM
2 - 0
OLY
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
OLY
5 - 0
POL
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
DJO
0 - 0
OLY
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
OLY
0 - 0
JEA
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
OLY
1 - 1
SMS
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bakaridjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
BAK
1 - 0
ASR
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BAK
1 - 0
SIG
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
DUG
0 - 1
BAK
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
ONZ
0 - 0
BAK
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
BAK
2 - 0
KOR
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |