ASOM vs Real Bamako analysis


59	ELO	65
1.5%	Tilt	-6.1%
22833º	General ELO ranking	2740º
22º	Country ELO ranking	4º
ELO win probability

39.2%

ASOM

27.5%

Draw

33.3%

Real Bamako

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

39.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%

27.5%

Draw

0-0

8.9%

1-1

13%

2-2

4.7%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.5%

33.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ASOM

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
25 Jul. 2014	POL 2 - 1 OLY 50% 27% 23%	61	64	3	0
12 Jul. 2014	OLY 0 - 3 STA 42% 28% 30%	62	64	2	-1
04 Jul. 2014	OLY 0 - 2 CSK 46% 29% 26%	62	64	2	0
09 Jun. 2014	BAM 4 - 1 OLY 43% 29% 28%	63	63	0	-1
31 May. 2014	OLY 0 - 0 USF 43% 27% 30%	63	64	1	0

Matches

Real Bamako

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
22 Jul. 2014	ASN 1 - 3 ASR 34% 29% 37%	64	60	4
11 Jul. 2014	ASR 1 - 1 BAK 47% 28% 26%	64	64	0
06 Jul. 2014	ASR 3 - 0 DJO 49% 28% 23%	64	63	1
10 Jun. 2014	ONZ 1 - 1 ASR 49% 25% 26%	64	64	0
02 Jun. 2014	ASR 1 - 0 ELW 58% 24% 18%	64	54	10