Olympic Charleroi vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
2º
1º
32
3º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympic Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GEN
0 - 1
OLY
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
OLY
2 - 2
TUB
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
OLY
5 - 1
STO
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ROC
0 - 3
OLY
26%
25%
50%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
EXC
1 - 0
OLY
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
EXC
2 - 1
STO
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ROC
0 - 0
EXC
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
TUB
0 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
EXC
0 - 1
GEN
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
EXC
1 - 0
OLY
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |