Olympic Charleroi vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
4º
1º
44
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympic Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
STO
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
TUB
4 - 1
OLY
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
STL
1 - 3
OLY
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 0
NAM
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 1
OLY
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 2
GEN
23%
25%
51%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 2
EXC
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
EXC
4 - 2
SGI
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
STO
2 - 3
EXC
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TUB
0 - 1
EXC
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |