UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 5-3
Olympiacos vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 3
OLP
54%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
OLP
1 - 1
TRI
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
LOK
0 - 0
OLP
30%
26%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
KVM
0 - 6
OLP
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
PAN
2 - 1
OLP
27%
27%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 1
JAV
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 3
OLP
54%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
6 - 1
MAV
86%
10%
3%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
BUD
0 - 0
PAR
25%
25%
51%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
BUD
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |