Conference League . Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos Piraeus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 5
OLP
19%
26%
56%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
OLP
3 - 0
ARI
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
OLP
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
MTA
1 - 6
OLP
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
OLP
1 - 3
PAN
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
FEN
49%
23%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FEN
4 - 2
ADA
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 3
FEN
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
FEN
0 - 1
UNI
46%
22%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FEN
4 - 1
PEN
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |