Olvera vs Federico Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
55.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
4 - 1
OLV
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OLV
1 - 1
PUE
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ENT
4 - 0
OLV
61%
20%
20%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OLV
2 - 1
LIB
17%
21%
62%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CDG
1 - 0
OLV
83%
12%
6%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Federico Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FED
3 - 3
JUV
61%
19%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PRA
1 - 2
FED
21%
22%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FED
4 - 0
ATL
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 1
FED
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
4 - 0
FED
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |