Olvera vs Alcalá Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FED
2 - 0
OLV
74%
15%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
OLV
0 - 2
PUE
55%
22%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PUE
6 - 0
OLV
52%
21%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OLV
4 - 0
ENT
34%
24%
42%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
OLV
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alcalá Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
4 - 0
JUV
21%
21%
58%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 0
ALC
50%
23%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 4
ATL
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 3
ESP
32%
24%
44%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FED
3 - 0
ALC
74%
16%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |