Olvega SD vs Luceni CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olvega SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
TAU
3 - 0
OLV
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
OLV
1 - 1
LMU
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
RIV
2 - 2
OLV
54%
21%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
OLV
4 - 1
ATE
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AGR
1 - 2
OLV
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
LUC
0 - 1
BOR
14%
19%
67%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MON
2 - 0
LUC
38%
23%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
LUC
0 - 4
GAL
21%
20%
58%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
REM
1 - 1
LUC
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LUC
1 - 1
NOV
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |