Olvega SD vs Luceni CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olvega SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
OLV
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
RIC
2 - 1
OLV
53%
21%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
OLV
3 - 2
VAL
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
TAU
3 - 0
OLV
59%
22%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 1
OLV
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LUC
1 - 2
EUR
46%
24%
30%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SAD
3 - 2
LUC
58%
22%
21%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CDC
1 - 1
LUC
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SAA
3 - 1
LUC
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 1
LUC
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |