Olvega SD vs Luceni CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olvega SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
OLV
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
OLV
2 - 0
ATE
59%
20%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
OLV
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
OLV
2 - 1
NOV
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
EMB
2 - 3
OLV
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LUC
1 - 1
BOQ
33%
22%
45%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AGR
2 - 0
LUC
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
LUC
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
SAA
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 2
LUC
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |