Olympic FC vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
OLY
4 - 2
NOR
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 4
OLY
35%
22%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
OLY
6 - 2
UNI
71%
16%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TAR
2 - 3
OLY
23%
20%
57%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ROC
3 - 0
OLY
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
WOL
3 - 0
UNI
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
NOR
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 6
BRI
17%
20%
63%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAP
25%
23%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
NPI
29%
24%
48%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |