Olympic FC vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
BRI
1 - 1
OLY
30%
22%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
OLY
3 - 1
WOL
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +3 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 2
OLY
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
OLY
4 - 0
PIN
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 0
OLY
29%
22%
48%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 1
TAR
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BRI
3 - 1
UNI
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 5
WOL
16%
21%
63%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 1
UNI
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |