Olympic FC vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
39.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BRR
0 - 6
OLY
9%
13%
78%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 2
FNQ
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 2
OLY
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
OLY
5 - 0
SWQ
86%
9%
5%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
OLY
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
GEO
2 - 1
GAP
76%
14%
10%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GEO
12 - 1
SPR
84%
10%
5%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
GEO
3 - 4
NPI
72%
16%
13%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
GEO
10%
16%
75%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | -2 |