Olympic FC vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
OLY
5 - 1
MOR
75%
14%
11%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
BRR
1 - 3
OLY
12%
15%
73%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
OLY
4 - 3
FNQ
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
WES
1 - 3
OLY
8%
12%
80%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
OLY
2 - 3
BRI
66%
17%
17%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
GOU
1 - 1
MEL
14%
19%
67%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 3
MEL
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 4
MEL
47%
25%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
WEC
2 - 4
MEL
20%
23%
58%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
PAS
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |