Oltrepo FBC vs Borgaro Nobis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
48.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
13º
20º
13º
28
5º
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 75 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 69 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 69 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 68 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 66 |
6º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
7º
|
89.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 54 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 54 |
9º
|
45.5% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 49 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 49 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 48 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 43 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 41 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 41 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 40 |
16º
|
37% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 35 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 34 |
18º
|
42% | |
|
|
18º
|
28 | 31 |
19º
|
45% | |
|
19º
|
26 | 29 |
20º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oltrepo FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
4 - 1
OLT
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OLT
1 - 0
SAN
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | +6 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
OLT
75%
16%
10%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
OLT
2 - 2
ASD
15%
20%
65%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | +5 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CCA
4 - 2
OLT
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Borgaro Nobis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 3
FOS
54%
21%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 2
ASD
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOR
60%
22%
19%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
3 - 2
PRO
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LIG
2 - 1
BOR
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |