Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Knock-outs 1/32
Global 11-0
CD Olmedo vs Santa Elena SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SES
0 - 6
OLM
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
OLM
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
OLM
2 - 1
INJ
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
OLM
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
OLM
2 - 1
PQU
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Elena SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SES
0 - 6
OLM
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
SES
1 - 1
CUM
53%
21%
26%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CUM
1 - 0
SES
26%
21%
54%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SES
2 - 1
LFC
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LFC
3 - 1
SES
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |