Oliver vs Utebo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
CFA
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 0
OLI
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 3
SDB
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
EJE
1 - 0
OLI
81%
13%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 3
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UFC
2 - 0
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SDB
0 - 2
UFC
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
UFC
2 - 2
EJE
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
UFC
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UFC
2 - 0
CDE
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |